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by Kenny Rogers
Sat Toronto 100-94
Toronto 105 Milwaukee 99
Toronto Won Series 4-2
The Toronto Raptors and Milwaukee Bucks throw down in the key Game 5 of their best-of-seven series on Thursday, May 23. Toronto dominated the Bucks in Game 4. Will Milwaukee bounce back and take a 3-2 series lead on Thursday night?
- ATS Odds: Bucks -7
- Over/Under Total Odds: 216
Why Toronto Raptors are a good bet at +7?
Toronto finally put it all together on May 21. It took double-overtime for the Raptors to beat Milwaukee in Game 3. In Game 4, Toronto took charge early. The Raptors led 65-55 at halftime. They outscored Milwaukee 39-26 in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, they outscored the Bucks 26-21.
Toronto appeared to flip the switch in Game 4. If they carry over the momentum, they not only have a chance to cover in Game 5, they’ve got a real shot of winning straight up.
Team Statistics
Offense:- Points/G: 114.4
- Field Goal %: 47.4
- 3-Point %: 36.6
- Free Throw %: 80.4
- Rebounds/G: 45.2
- Points/G: 108.4
- Field Goal %: 44.9
- 3-Point %: 34.5
- Free Throw %: 76.5
- Rebounds/G: 44.8
Why Milwaukee Bucks are a good bet at -7?The Bucks are a young squad. Young teams can take a backward step on the road in playoff games. That’s what happened to Milwaukee in Game 4. The Bucks simply didn’t have it after the double-overtime loss in Game 3.
The big question was which team would come out and thrive after playing so many minutes. Milwaukee wasn’t that team. Now back on their own court, the Bucks should rediscover a spring in their step. They’ll show up with much more energy on Thursday night than they had on Tuesday night.
Team Statistics
Offense:- Points/G: 118.1
- Field Goal %: 47.6
- 3-Point %: 35.3
- Free Throw %: 77.3
- Rebounds/G: 49.7
- Points/G: 109.3
- Field Goal %: 43.3
- 3-Point %: 36.1
- Free Throw %: 73.3
- Rebounds/G: 45.3
NBA Playoffs Betting Trends for Raptors vs Bucks
- Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road gams
- Raptors are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest
- Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings
- Bucks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 meetings following a straight up loss
- Bucks are 4-0 in their last 4 home games
- Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of 10 points or more
Raptors vs Bucks Game 5 Final Analysis
Milwaukee will play much better on May 23 than they played on May 21. That’s a given, but it might not be good enough for the Bucks to cover the spread. It has nothing to do with one team in this series being any better than the other.
In fact, it’s the opposite. These two are extremely similar. They both have a superstar in Kawhi for Toronto and Giannis for the Bucks. They both have excellent secondary players. They both have great coaches.
Similar teams should battle each other tight in playoff games. Toronto finally hit its stride while the Bucks are at home. This comes down to the 7 points simply being way too many. The Raptors will put up a fight and win against the spread. Milwaukee wins straight up.
NBA Playoffs Betting Pick: Raptors +7
